Monday, October 5, 2015

http://ablenook.blogspot.com/




Coming Up this week in DC
The Bipartisan Policy Center is hosting a GSE conference on Thursday, featuring Senators Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) and Mark Warner (D-Va.). The politicos are followed by a panel of industry types, moderated by Harvard’s Nic Retsinas.
What interests me here is one of the panelists is Mike Fratantoni, the Mortgage Bankers Association, economist and regulatory chief.




Since his boss, David Stevens staked out that he (and presumably the MBA) supports the continuation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (a view which had some of us scratching our heads, since it seemed far away from his and the association’s anti-GSE actions), I will be curious to see if Fratantoni stands up and repeats the MBA support for extending the GSE operational lives (for reasons like “our smaller members need them” or “we don’t want the big guys eating the world”) or if he evades the subject, raising additional questions of where the MBA is on championing the two entities most responsible for MBA members able to conveniently sell mortgages they originate into the secondary mortgage market.
The mortgage community is watching Mike (and David).
(Oh, as a small reminder, all of the reform legislation which Corker and Warner have been associated would do away with the GSEs and cede the mortgage markets to the big banks.)
At the ABS East 2015 Conference, last week……
A panel of former GSE regulators, Armando Falcon, Jim Lockhart, and Ed DeMarco, tried their best to rewrite history while collectively covering their butts, hoping nobody had the facts to challenge them.
I wasn’t there but a reliable sources informed me that each of the former F&F regulators left the stage with noses much longer than when they started their spinning. (Think Pinnochio!)
And bad for them, I also have some facts which I believe are incontrovertible.
Here are Mark Adelson’s notes on the Miami event; Adelson is a principal at The Bond Factory.


Now, speaking only for Fannie—although I believe the same lobbying principle applied to Freddie, as well--in my 10 years of lobbying during OFHEO’s existence, we were ordered, ordered (first by Jim Johnson and then later Frank Raines) to never lobby and/or interfere with OFHEO’s congressional budget discussionsnegotiations or proceedings and we didn’t.
Just a further explanation for those not familiar with the budget process. Leading up to January of any year, negotiations inside the (any) Administration between an agency and OMB officials occurs and then an annual spending figure is agreed to for that government agency/program. That’s the figure which is sent to the Hill as part of the President’s annual federal spending request (Budget), which traditionally is sent at the end of January or early February, to allow Congress to produce spending figures for the coming fiscal year beginning on October 1.
My best evidence for the validity of my “non-interference” statement—especially when one hears all of the OFHEO caterwauling about the GSEs army of lobbyists--is OFHEO got every dollar, i.e. never received one dollar less, the WH Office of Management and Budget (OMB) sought for them, first in the Clinton administration and later the Bush administration annual budget requests.
Repeat, OFHEO got every dollar OMB asked for and Fannie Mae (nor Freddie)--despite the OFHEO accusations--tried to derail the process or their funds.
Now all three may have wanted more from OMB, but that’s an internecine Administration debate, much different than saying the agency received less operating funds because of outside congressional lobbying.
My Operation “Pipe Up!”
Here is a task for us all, since I/we know the challenge is coming.
During the various presidential campaign machinations, a Republican--but possibly a Democrat--will try and score points berating Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. (It didn’t work for John McCain, but that won’t stop the newbies.)
The first time any presidential candidate in either party negatively mentions Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, we “Pipe Up”--and explode with information setting the record straight--to media, other candidates, the networks, and the individual himself or herself.
(For purposes of this exercise, I am not counting that Carly Fiorina mentioned the GSEs in her first “kids’ debate,” which preceded the then frontrunners, of which she now is one. But, remember, she said it once and could say it again.)
Let’s do our “Chubby Checker”
Here is my twist (think guys!).
As someone who has been trying to tell the Fannie Mae/GSE story for years, I say eschew that initial approach because it’s almost is too complex to tell simply.
You’ll first have to talk about GOP political crusades, amateur or eye popping regulatory abuse, blatant dishonesty, and Treasury’s constitutional violations—spanning two administrations--which produced more than 20 HERA and Third Amendment lawsuits today pending against the government.
When you do that, watch eyes glaze over.
Yep, it’s a very tough row to hoe, but my suggestion is to reverse the telling and not talk about Fannie and Freddie.  You’ll get to the Fannie and Freddie part soon enough, but start with another chilling certainty.
Here is your immediate WEAPON
A majority of the government, political, ideological, and mortgage industry bad guys who want to abolish Fannie and Freddie would replace them with some configuration of the nation’s largest financial institutions (who in turn want more federal guarantees against their mortgage losses).
That’s what we talk about and shout from the rooftops.
They want to Kill F&F and Replace them with….!
Face it, despite our best communications efforts, we won’t be successful repairing F&F’s image, maybe a new President could, but not us.
But we could have a helluva lot of fun and open some knowing/understanding eyes with a full discussion of who/what the GSE enemies would substitute for Fannie and Freddie.
As “public educators,” we need to explain that most of the mortgage system alternatives coming from GSE opponents would give the primary and secondary mortgage market controls to America’s major financial institutions, with practical control falling to the dreaded Too Big to Fail (TBTF) banks, which themselves are GSE’s (Government Sponsored Enterprises) of a slightly different sort.
That connection shouldn’t be hard to show with the Administration’s mortgage reform positioning and the Senate Corker--Warner legislative exercises, which last year later became the Johnson-Crapo bill.
The American people generally dislike the behemoth financial institutions—for many of the right reasons-- but often have no substantive idea of their many specific transgressions, or the severity, variety, and the naked consumer aggression the bank wrongdoings represent.
Think systemic industry aberrance, as in “It runs in big bank DNA to cheat the government and seek profit, no matter the rules.”
The immense crap wall around Fannie and Freddie, built and maintained, by their business and political enemies, may make GSE rehabilitation tough, but we need to remind American consumers/voters of this sobering “successors” fact.
Most who would do away with Fannie and Freddie, substituting some other lending mechanism, would put in charge of our mortgage needs some of the worst financial predators in our nation’s history, which still continue the rampage against supervisory rules and regulations, years after the 2008 financial meltdown—when their actions, more than the GSEs, nearly crushed our domestic economy as well as the world’s.
It’s one of the reasons why Bethany McLean, author of “On Shaky Ground: The Strange Saga of the U.S. Mortgage Giants,” believes that Fannie and Freddie are positive market forces, which still are needed for their mortgage standardization, efficiency, fair pricing, and systemic reliability—all of which benefit American homebuyers—but, also, are irreplaceable as a bulwark against big bank market and political power.
When you next have the opportunity to discuss the state of our national mortgage market, assume your audience doesn’t know or misunderstands what happened to the GSEs. But, be sure and detail what the GSE critics want to run the mortgage markets in Fannie’s and Freddie’s place.
Arm and inform yourself beyond the “Banks are bad” line and educate and advocate. I believe that it will be far easier then to discuss Fannie’s and Freddie’s future.
Here is a general list from the Financial Times of $150 Billion in US banks fines in the past few years, but this article doesn’t give color to many of their heinous “reach around” (the regs) schemes, like ripping off veterans’ housing programs, laundering money for Mexican Drug lords, doing business with US enemies and other extremists in the Middle East, rigging the London Interbank Borrowing Rate (LIBOR), to which most US adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) are measured/indexed. (Now you know another reason why most banks wanted to sell you an ARM rather than a fixed rate loan).

Additional articles on bank law breaking.
Bank Violations and fines in 2013


and




Bank Violations and fines in 2014




Bank fines and violations in 2015



The billions of dollars in fines paid in recent years for these offenses are spelled out in bank regulatory agency press releases which the public seldom sees or reads, although the public’s correct instincts are to distrust the major financial depositaries.
So, fan those flames, let your audiences decide who the greater threat is Fannie and Freddie, now well-regulated, successful (albeit denied capital by Treasury), and unlikely to return to the norm of 2008, or the big banks and their cohorts, which never have stopped their financial rampage?



What Others Are Saying

Presidential Corner


US News Says 2016 nomination belongs to Cruz or Rubio (with the R’s at my Friday poker game saying it will be Rubio).
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Enjoy him while you can, Rand Paul says Cruz “pretty much done in the Senate.” (But, Maloni says, he could come back as Trump’s VP.)

Huckabee’s Campaign Targets lobbyists and donors. (I am certain Huckabee-backer Ronald Cameron has no political agenda he might want to see his fellow Razorback implement.)
'WASHINGTON: IT'S A STRIP CLUB': Mike Huckabee released a new ad taking aim at K Street, charging "the political class dances for the donor class," over an image of crumpled dollar bills near a stripper pole. The super PAC supporting the former Arkansas governor's campaign raised $3 million, almost its entire haul, from Ronald Cameron of Little Rock, the CEO of the agribusiness giant Mountaire.
Jeb on Community College Killings

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What Trump Says..



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Fannie and Freddie Corner
Banks still abuse after settlements



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Inside Mortgage Finance’s Carissa Chappell on “Jumpstart GSE Bill,”
By Carisa Chappell
A streamlined version of the “Jumpstart GSE Reform Act, ” recently reintroduced in Congress then placed on hold and reintroduced again, could be considered before the end of the year.
The bill, sponsored by Sens. Bob Corker, R-TN, Mark Warner, D-VA, and Elizabeth Warren, D-MA, would bar the Treasury from selling its stock in the two GSEs and prevent increases in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac guaranty fees to pay for other government spending.
An earlier version of the bill that Corker tried to fast-track through the Senate did not include the prohibition on using g-fees to pay for unrelated government spending. Warren reportedly refused to back that version, and the Senate instead passed a much narrower bill that only repeals pay hikes provided to Fannie’s and Freddie’s chief executive officers this year.
With Congress pressing to enact legislation to keep the government running beyond a short-term continuing resolution, industry groups are concerned that GSE g-fees could be tapped again. For more details, see the new edition of Inside Mortgage Finance.
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 “Conservatorship wasn’t necessary”….

Investors Unite


Looking for hope on this legislative possibility, one GSE veteran noted, "If you want to find two Senators to guarantee a provision will die before it hits the floor or get altered, start with Corker and Warner.”
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Wash Post carries (positive) review of McLean’s book

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Wayne Olsen on the GSE courts cases.

Hedge Funds in the “Neighborhoods”
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Maloni puts on his best Don Quixote outfit and seeks audience with Post editorial types. (Since I haven’t heard from the Post’s Mr. Hiatt, I assume I am back to windmill tilting.)

First off, I can't offer a huge rationale for you meeting with me, save being 45 year subscriber to the Washington Post and someone who enjoys reading newspapers, as well as the new electronic media.
The purpose for my request is to get some insight into the Post's editorial (and reportorial) thinking on a subject I think I know well, federal support for home ownership and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, in particular.
Again, yesterday, the Post editorialized against Fannie and Freddie and I am mystified why the paper has such a bleak outlook for these local companies, which employ probably 10,000--12,000 residents in DC, Maryland, and Virginia, major federal taxpayers (plus providing the Treasury with all of their current earnings) and, ironically, in the case of one them, moving into the Post's physical location after new construction.
As I often explain in my sometimes letters to the Post editor, I worked on the Hill for a dozen years, at the Fed for Paul Volcker, and at Fannie Mae for 21 years--as their chief lobbyist-- before retiring almost 11 years ago. For the past five years, I've written a financial services/GSE blog, which from time to time mentions the Post. I don't represent anyone, not a housing or bank interest, no trade association or an individual institution.
I blog (and produce typos) and I read and talk
I understand the call for more private capital, less government involvement, but based on my near 40 year involvement with these issues, no comprehensive alternative system I've seen (in the various commission reports, legislative proposals, etc. etc.) has the consumer benefits, the systemic efficiency, common pricing, and standardization of the Fannie/Freddie model.
Not that they can't be improved or that they didn't make mistakes in the post-2005 era (when competent leadership was forced out in a regulatory putsch) but doing away with them and substituting--over an ill-defined but certainly lengthy, chaos inducing period--some large bank dominated system, as most of the hill and this White House advocates, seems so unwise and chaotic. That approach ignores the history of just 7 years ago, when with no Fannie and Freddie competition the large banks and investment banks unleashed $2.7 Trillion of their own (created outside the Fannie and  Freddie systems) toxic mortgage backed securities. The banks sold them worldwide, with inflated labels and insufficient backing, so that our US real estate downturn had dire international consequences. Bank PLS (private label securities) losses were horrendous, three times larger than losses from Fannie and Freddie backed mortgage bonds.
Every week in my blog, I try and list the latest major banks transgression or rule busting--which have been lengthy, frequent, and quite varied offenses-- to remind people why these institutions hardly are the correct stewards of the nation's primary and secondary mortgage markets.
So, that's where I am coming from and I truly hope you could find time  to discuss with me--maybe with some of your team present--some of these matters in your office or outside over coffee. 
Why might this might make sense from the Post's or your own perspective? If it is one thing I've learned in dealing with Congress, other policy makers, media, a plethora of federal agencies, many people think they know and understand what Fannie and Freddie did leading up to the 2008 financial Armageddon, but invariably they are wrong or they don't have the entire story.
That's a significant issue when elements of both congressional parties, not to mention a new President, will be looking soon answer, "What do we do with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac?"
Thanks, Bill Maloni




Bank Screwup Corner

Barry Ritholz says lenders engage with hyperbole over new disclosure rules.





Politics/Government Corner


Delay in House sub-Speaker elections?


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McCarthy Says Benghazi probe all about Hillary; but others R’s say he misspoke???


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Schumer-Ryan Highway & Tax Talks?

Sen. Warren claims another D scalp, wish she would take on some of the F&F baggage this Admin carries, as well as the other mortgage lies out there!
Was Rep. Chaffetz upset with the Secret Service because it once had rejected him?
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Foreign Policy Corner
Why Putin is desperate for some international acceptance? (The same reasons why Obama should keep the screws tight.)
Is Syria Putin’s Tar Baby?


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Maloni, 10-5-2015

Sunday, September 20, 2015

Pope Francis, Fannie, Freddie, and Hope;
Could he Condemn a Mongolian Mormon?
During his two day visit to Washington DC this week, Vatican sources—whose identities I cannot reveal because of my adherence to the International Blog Source Secrecy Guidelines (IBSSG) —implied Pope Francis expects to warn congressional and Administration policy makers, “Hands off the GSEs.”  It was hinted His Holiness may also suggest that banks not be given early access to the CSP.
My source says this GSE communication will occur when the President and the Pope play their round of golf at Andrews Air Force base, since the Pope hurt his wrist and can’t dribble a basketball, as he smoothly once did. BHO has offered the Pope three strokes because of the Pope’s long robes, which Francis took.
I wonder if those talks will get attention from this town’s jaded media and federally appointed and elected public officials.
Administration sources madly are racing to find someone who—by Thursday--can explain to President Obama what Fannie and Freddie do and why they are so important to low and moderate income families whom the Pope adores, especially minorities whose home ownership rates significantly trail whites.
Also scurrying around were clerks to Judge Margaret Sweeney, who snagged one of the gilt-edged invitations to see the Pope. Judge Sweeney’s assistants are hoping to secure the proper Latin pronunciation of “scumsucker,” “deposition,“ “Ugoletti,” and “redaction,” should Pope Francis raise those matters with “somebody.” (Apparently out-of-town Popes are not covered by the Judge’Sweeneys gag order. After all, how/why would you gag the Holy See’s #1 guy?)
In a related matter, it also was reported Mario Ugoletti,  former Treasury and FHFA employee, has moved to UlaanbatorMongolia, shortly he joined the Church of Jesus Christ of the Latter Day Saints last week, muttering something about, “Francis wouldn’t come after a Mongolian Mormon would he?”
We’ll know by week’s end, if the papal GSE intervention is a success!

Bethany McLean’s Book Tour 

Bethany McLean started her book tour last week for her latest GSE book, 

“On Shaky Ground: The Strange Saga of the U.S. Mortgage Giants.”

I managed to see one of her four Washington DC events. Unfortunately there was no video of that one at the Politics and Prose book store, but I did get a chance to speak with her before and after getting two books autographed (one for the very helpful Mr. Fidlsticks) and one for myself. Mine replaced my original galley proof copy, that the author provided to me weeks ago, which disappeared after I lent to a well-known GSE personality, an author in his own right, whose name I won’t mention.(Psst.  OK, I confess, it was (the real) Tim Howard, who joined us at P&P with his lovely wife Debbie. They also bought books.)
Bethany’s efficient synopsis and P&P presentation were excellent, with the history and current limbo perils to Fannie and Freddie floating in conservatorship surrounded by a WH and Congress uncertain of how to proceed enamored with their love of F&F’s revenue generating capacity but knowing the present design leaves the GSEs each year with less and less capital to protect against losses.
That’s even before you mix in the GOP hate and disdain of anything tied to the Roosevelt Administration or federal support for conventionally financed home ownership. But, as Bethany said at P&P, loosely applying Winston Churchill’s logic and words, “Fannie and Freddie may be bad, but they are better than whatever is next.”
McLean recounted a revealing vignette, unfortunately one shared by too many people “inside the Beltway,” and which then got incarnated by a fellow book buyer in the back of P&P.
Bethany described twice of seeing old pals months ago, on a visit to New England and, separately, when she was in a friend’s wedding. Two acquaintances, after asking what the four time author was working on and being told “researching a Fannie and Freddie issue,” both responded with a variation of the line. “Well, I can tell you all you need to know about them. Their pursuit of bad low income loans caused the 2008 financial meltdown.”
After her friendly Politics and Prose audience laughed at that distorted and most inaccurate explanation, a man in the back of the room loudly exclaimed, “That is me, I’ve been telling that to people for years.”
I later found the man and as he was checking out his McLean book purchase, and asked him why he believed that and he said, “Well weren’t all of those bank securities (meaning PLS) backed by Fannie and Freddie?”
When I explained why the opposite was true and “$2.7 Trillion in PLS” sold internationally by banks meant  Private Label Securities, issued outside of the GSE systems and not backed by F&F, he was embarrassed and perplexed, saying, “I have to read this book right way.”
I hope he’s microcosm for the nation and will learn the truth after reading “On Shaky Ground…” and engage others with his new knowledge.
By all means, buy and read Bethany McLean’s book, consume those interviews and watch the videos, and remember, she is a very firm believer in Fannie and Freddie needing to stay operational in the mortgage market to insure long term fixed rate financing, standardization and efficiency for consumers, and as a counterweight to the market and political influence of the nation’s big banks.

(Related/unrelated. I bumped into two Fannie employees at the P&P event and both laughed and threw cold water on any talk of an "employee walkout", noting that the name associated with such talk works for neither Fannie or Freddie.)





Here is a list of the events, with videos in which Ms. McLean engaged. In addition, I also linked some articles and reviews about her and her book, as well as a link to up coming events.
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Columbia Global Reports: 'Shaky Ground' Launch Event Video
Tuesday, September 15, 2015

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Charlie Rose : A discussion about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac with Bethany McLean, author of “Shaky Ground: The Strange Saga of the U.S. Mortgage Giants,” and Bill Ackman of Pershing Square Capital.

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MarketPlace: U.S. mortgage giants under the microscope
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WNYC: The battleground that's Fannie and Freddie 

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Museum of American Finance: Bethany McLean on "Why Does the US Government Want Fannie and Freddie Dead?"

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Yahoo : Video interview: The biggest remaining risk in today's financial system, hiding in plain sight

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CNBC : Mortgage giants on 'Shaky Ground'? 

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New America:   Shaky Ground , The Strange Saga of the U.S. Mortgage Giants
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The Street: Fates of Fannie and Freddie Need to Be Settled ASAP Says Bethany McLean
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Columbia Global Reports Upcoming Events Link
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What’s New With David Fiderer’s Book
David Fiderer is one person who has written extensively about the bank/investment bank PLS madness documenting their sloppiness, blunders and lying and, most importantly, all of the losses, far larger than those of F&F securities.
In a surprise to me a week ago, David Fiderer published his e-book  on Amazon“The Plot to Destroy Fannie Mae, Anatomy of a Power Grab, which excoriates in great detail a bunch of senior government and regulatory officials, starting with former Treasury Secretary Henry “Hank” Paulson,  for their haphazard, reckless,  and demagogic treatment of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
In his zeal as an artist, David later admitted that the book was not totally ready for prime time and needing some reorganization, cleansing of typos, and made easier to read.
While I didn’t disagree, I also told anyone who asked me, “Fiderer’s research and fact finding are so solid and his finding so disturbing, that the flaws do not undercut what he produced. Read it and see for yourself.”
The good news is DF’s is working with an editor and hopes shortly to reissue his work, possibly in print form. But, I’ll remind all that, the original is on Amazon, you don’t need a Kindle to read it, any sort of e-reader can access it.

SBC members reintroduce F&F 'Jump start'
This Jon Prior article in Politico last week caused some angst in the GSE community because Sen. Elizabeth Warren first supported this bill, then opposed it taking off her name, and finally jumped on a new version but with the same poisonous impact. Its fate still is up in the air because the SDC ranking member, Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) opposes it and reportedly has a “hold” on the legislation?
  
By Jon Prior
09/16/2015 11:13 AM EDT
Members of the Senate Banking Committee, led by Bob Corker, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, reintroduced a bill today that would prevent the government from selling its stake in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac without instructions from Congress.
After failing to be fast-tracked through the Senate this week, the bill is being pushed for a vote after language was added that would prevent lawmakers from raising fees charged by the two companies to be spent on other government programs. The committee's top Democrat, Sherrod Brown, had put a hold on that process. He told POLITICO earlier today he was against a piecemeal approach to housing reform and wanted the proposal to go through regular process. Warren had thrown up a roadblock, too, after language centering on the fees was taken out. Another provision was separated out that would suspend pay hikes for the chief executives of Fannie and Freddie, but that was pushed through the Senate last night.
"While comprehensive reform is my preference, we must not allow a small minority to prevent us from making any progress at all," Corker said in a statement today.
The bill stands long odds of becoming law, as it's unknown whether Senate and House leaders will want to take up the controversial proposal. The bill would hurt shareholders who are suing the Obama administration seeking a court to allow Fannie and Freddie to pay down the government's stake in the firms after they returned more in profits to the Treasury than the $187.5 billion they received in bailouts.




What Others Are Saying?

Presidential Corner
Latest GOP Candidates Rankings

Trump and Carly Fiorina at the top
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Support me so I can sell your info (Carly)


Common Question: Hillary’s Achievements??


Trump on Obama is a Muslim
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Fannie and Freddie Corner

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“Big Banks Can’t Be Trusted to Replace GSEs
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Paul Muolo in IMF

Short Takes: Almost All GSE-Related Legislation is DoA / Don’t Kill the Golden Goose / Those Crazy Common Investors / The GSEs Are Worth $35.2 Billion? / Brian Webster’s Resume


By Paul Muolo
What will happen if Congress gets the authority to block (or approve) the Treasury Department from selling its senior preferred stock in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? First off, it’s unlikely that such a bill will ever pass. Industry lobbyists suggest that the only GSE bill that might have a chance in the current Congress is one that guts the recent pay raises implemented by the Federal Housing Finance Agency for the CEOs of the GSEs…
Keep in mind that few think Treasury would be willing to unload its senior preferred shares because that means the $20 billion to $30 billion the two contribute to the Treasury each year (at least) would go away. Then again, if Treasury received a bid of $100 billion (for example) for their holdings maybe…
GSE FACT CHECK #1: Meanwhile, the common shares of Fannie and Freddie have a current market capitalization rate of $19.60 billion, based on trading prices Tuesday afternoon. Many consider the common shares worthless, but no one has told the dreamers and speculators who continue to buy the stocks.  
GSE FACT CHECK #2: So, what are Fannie and Freddie really worth? At three-times annual earnings (based on 2Q15 results) that would be $35.2 billion. The calculation excludes franchise value and goodwill.



Bank Screw Up Corner